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Apostatic Selection and Balanced Polymorphism
To
study the effects of hunting by searching image on the dynamics of
the prey population, we created a virtual population of 200 digital
moths (Bond & Kamil 1998). Our initial population contained equal
numbers of each of three distinctive moth types. As in our earlier
work, the moths were presented singly on cryptic backgrounds to blue
jays in an operant chamber. To obtain a realistic "virtual ecology,"
however, four different blue jays were used as predators, with each
bird seeing a randomly-selected quarter of the moth population each
day. Detected individuals were considered "killed" and were removed
from the moth population. Those that were overlooked were allowed
to breed, in proportion to the relative abundance of their moth type,
bringing the population up to its previous level the following day.
Each day thus constituted a generation. Our only experimental intervention
was to set the initial numbers of the three morphs.
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| Moth images
used in the virtual ecology experiment. Moths 1, 2, and 3 constituted
the initial prey population. Moths 4 and 5 were novel forms
that were introduced in later stages of the experiment. Note
that Moth 5 is considerably different in appearance from the
other four. |
This
methodology defines a fixed phenotype or "coexistence" procedure(Kassen
2002), in which the population of digital moths consists of a set
of asexually reproducing clones of invariant appearance. They do
not mutate, and each generation is brought up to a constant size
based on the relative numbers of surviving individuals. The population
dynamics of the different morphs and their asymptotic levels of
abundance are, thus, the main dependent variables. Over the course
of 50 generations, the numbers of the three morphs rapidly achieved
a characteristic equilibrium that was independent of initial relative
abundances and resistant to subsequent perturbation.
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| In
the first 50-generation run, three moth types were initially
set to equal abundances. Within 10-15 generations, they had
shifted to characteristic equilibrium levels. In subsequent
runs, one of the less abundant moths at equilibrium was initially
set high to perturb the system. In each case, the previous
equilibrium levels were rapidly regained, demonstrating stable
system dynamics. |
Additional
analyses demonstrated that the equilibrium was a result of "apostatic
selection" (Clarke 1962, 1969), a negative feedback between prey
abundance and detectability. If jays tend to concentrate their searching
efforts on more common moth types, we would expect that the proportion
of individuals of a specified type that were discovered (="taken")
by the birds would be higher than expected on a random basis for
common forms and lower than expected for rarer ones. Thus, there
should be a significant linear relationship between the deviation
from randomness ("proportion taken minus proportion present") and
the proportion present in the population. This relationship was
confirmed for all three moth types (see below), providing the first
direct demonstration of the dynamic relationship between searching
image, apostatic selection, and prey population stability.
We
then tested the effects of apostatic selection on novel morphs,
moth types that the birds had not seen previously (Bond & Kamil
1998). When small numbers of each a new moth type were introduced
into the population, they were not initially detected by the jays
and their abundance rapidly increased. In the first case (Moth 4),
the jays ultimately took notice of the new prey items and drove
their numbers down, establishing a new equilibrium state. The second
novel form we tried had a different outcome, however. Moth 5 rapidly
increased until it completely dominated the population. Even after
100 generations, only two of the four jays had learned to find it,
and if we had not continuously reintroduced small numbers of the
original three forms, they would all have been driven to extinction
(see below).
From these results,
the stability of the observed configuration of morphs appeared to
be a function of subtle relationships between the appearance of mutant
forms and that of the pre-existing moth types. Whether this would
prove to be the case in a more realistic system in which prey phenotypes
were free to evolve was not clear. To explore this question, we needed
to extend our procedures to enable the evolution of prey appearance,
and for that, we needed to develop a functional virtual genetics.
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